Q.1
14 MarksGiven: time between breakdowns is exponential with mean days, so .
The probability that the machine breaks down within 15 days is about 0.586.
Find (a) (b) (c) .
| X | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F(X=x) | 0 | k | 0.2 | 2k | 0.3 | 2k |
The total probability is 1:
So the distribution is:
| X | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P(X = x) | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
(a) ; (b) ; (c) .
| x | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| y | 6 | 11 | 18 | 27 |
Curve: . The normal equations are:
| x | y | x² | x³ | x⁴ | xy | x²y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 27 | 81 | 54 | 162 |
| 4 | 27 | 16 | 64 | 256 | 108 | 432 |
| 10 | 62 | 30 | 100 | 354 | 190 | 644 |
()
(ii) × 2 − (i) × 5: , so
(iii) − (ii) × 3: , so
(v) − 10 × (iv): , so .
From (iv): . From (i): , so .
Check: at , , which matches the data exactly. In fact all four points lie on this curve.
The best fitting second degree curve is .